Sean t rcp twitter

“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that

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Log in. Sign up“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2”When it comes to connecting with people, celebrities can’t get enough of Twitter. Having the ability to easily describe what you’re feeling can become addictive. If you let off too much steam, however, you might land yourself in trouble.“This histogram of Ohio precincts by Democratic share of the two-party vote really shows the Democrats' problem in a nutshell: Democrats have a significant number of precincts where Biden got 75% of the vote or more; Trump has comparatively few.”Sean Hannity frequently interviews politicians, candidates, pundits and controversial figures. Specific guests who appear frequently on his show include Senator John McCain, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and former Massachuset...“Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/”“@_Chris_Golding_ From what I understand this happened at the end of the fourth quarter, and it took a while to figure out exactly what was going on. All coaches (who are just parents) were horrified, but this is something there needs to be clear guidance on at a …“I've been mulling over some of the defenses of Australia's anti-COVID regime from liberal friends, and the ACLU's defense of vaccine mandates. I can't decide if this is a one-off, or some greater shift in American liberalism. 1/”In today’s fast-paced world, staying up to date with current events is more important than ever. With so much happening around us, it can be challenging to find reliable sources of news and information. That’s where Sean Hannity Live comes ...ANALYSIS. By Sean Trende - RCP Staff. November 17, 2022. AP. As of this writing, most states have counted their 2022 election ballots. California, being California, …“So I don't know. Ideology certainly matters less than the 4th grade civics version, where candidates give speeches and voters decide who they agree with the most on the issues. I just think some of the current crop of Dem candidates are problematic for Democrats in unique ways.”Log in. Sign upSean T at RCP on Twitter ... Log in01 Nov 2022 23:09:39From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll. Practice here first or read more on our help page! More from @SeanTrende. Sean T at RCP ...Log in. Sign upJul 8, 2022 · “Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ... “Trying to think of a more consequential shift than Barrett for Ginsburg. Maybe Black for Van Devanter in the 30s, but Roberts already flipped. Thomas for Marshall? Ginsburg-for-White next year cancels, Souter goes left.Maybe Goldberg for Frankfurter, giving Warren 5 solid votes.”“Especially if you wind up with Bernie taking his (hypothetical) 15% everywhere. Personally I think three is the real danger number, but four with Bernie, Warren, Biden, and Harris doing a demographic division of …Log in. Sign up“On the uncontested House races, it is obviously proper to try to estimate vote totals for those seats. It's weird that people are suddenly super keyed in on this known-for-decades-but-always-ignore-issue, but whatevs. There are 10R uncontested and 2D. BUT . …[Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don't be a crosstab truther. You're dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They're mostly useful for patterns that appear across multiple polls, not for disputing the topline's accuracy. twitterJun 7, 2021 · “@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225.“If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of …01 Nov 2022 23:09:391 Mar 2018 ... Christian Greico breaks down his win in the Toyota Series Northern Division event on the Potomac River. Additionally, he goes in-depth on ...“This is insane. 20 years ago the all-in at Duke Law (tuition, living expenses, books) was about $40k. I don’t think the education provided has improved *that* much.”

“As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17”“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”“I don't know that there is much more that we realistically could have done in Afghanistan, but it's just really sad to watch this if you're old enough to remember ink-stained fingers, Karzai in his cool hat, and the general air of hopefulness that once prevailed there.”…

Reader Q&A - also see RECOMMENDED ARTICLES & FAQs. “Aside from the expense, this is a significant risk to human lif. Possible cause: Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP.

“Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”“@_Chris_Golding_ From what I understand this happened at the end of the fourth quarter, and it took a while to figure out exactly what was going on. All coaches (who are just parents) were horrified, but this is something there needs to be clear guidance on at a …

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/”

Log in. Sign up We all know that some people are just predisposed to say stupid things. Still, it’s one thing to see it on Twitter and another to hear it from the mouth of the person sleeping next to you. It’s not your fault.Log in. Sign up “If you don't want to know about the hors“So many other low points, like horses on Star Des Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads - Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.Since Twitter seems reasonably likely to go away in the next couple of years, my 2c: Obvs the site is miserable, but there's an entire generation of top-notch young analysts like @JMilesColeman who probably would have gone unnoticed but for Twitter. 1/ 31 Oct 2022 01:42:44 “Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presi Nov 10, 2022 · “One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/” “My take: You can make a case for PhantomSo SC-1 is an interesting case. It's basically divvied up “I've done these before and they are a handy way to see what the votes mean. Basically, once counties clear a certain number of votes in, this take them and compares them to 2017 results, with 4.5% taken off the 2017 results (since Northam won by 9). 1/” “On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, b “@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.” In this conversation. Verified account Protec[On the fringes, Johnson seems to have weathered the16 Şub 2020 ... If Bernie Sanders isn Nov 6, 2022 · “This remains the key chart for how big GOP House gains will be: Biden vote share by the number of districts with that vote share. At R+3 or so nationally, the GOP starts to climb the levy that Democrats built with Biden +10 (or so) districts. 1/”